Trends can often act as a double-edged sword in product management. While they may provide an initial spark of innovation and align products with contemporary market demands, repeatedly latching onto trends can eventually steer a product off its intended course. This tendency is particularly risky for product managers who find themselves in the midst of evolving market dynamics, where customer preferences are volatile, and there's relentless pressure to innovate swiftly. Here, we explore why sticking solely to trends could be sabotaging your product, and how you can avoid these pitfalls to build sustainable success.
Understanding the Nature of Trends
Trends are essentially the market's collective response to innovations or societal shifts. They emerge from various influences including technological advancements, cultural changes, and economic fluctuations. While they hold insights into potential demands, they are, by nature, transient and can lead to over-engineered products that do not cater to long-term value. This trend-following can cause companies to invest heavily in features or products that may quickly become outdated or irrelevant.
Real World Consequences
One of the challenges that arises from an intense focus on trends is the risk of developing what can be referred to as "trend fatigue." This occurs when products become overloaded with too many trendy features, diluting their core functionality and value proposition. For example, consider social media platforms that continuously integrate every new feature trend without a coherent strategy. This approach often complicates the user experience and shifts the focus away from the platform's original unique selling points.
Moreover, trends can sometimes misrepresent the market's actual needs. The idea that trends carry genuine consumer demand may lead companies to invest resources in solutions that do not solve real problems. As the adage in product management goes: "Solve customers' problems, not market trends."
The Illusion of Safety in Numbers
Following trends can feel reassuring— the numbers, the hype, the visible adoption cycle, all seem to indicate a safe path. However, there is a significant pitfall here. When businesses base decisions primarily on trends, they relinquish their creative agency and strategic direction, leading to homogenization in the market. This environment stifles innovation and differentiation, as companies churn out similar offerings in a race to catch the latest wave.
Businesses that indiscriminately chase trends can also struggle to achieve true product-market fit. This is because aligning products with fleeting trends can obstruct a focus on the deeper, evolving needs of customers. A product that achieves success by riding the wave of a trend might have substantial outward growth but won't necessarily have the loyal customer backing because the base was not built on addressing foundational needs.
"Sometimes life hits you in the head with a brick. Don't lose faith." - Steve Jobs

Strategically Evaluating Trends
So, how should product managers approach trends?
Understanding Your Core Value: It's crucial to continuously revisit the core problems your product was meant to solve. Use trends as an inspiration rather than a directive. Ensure your product's evolution is closely tied to customer needs and not just market buzz.
Invest in Data and Feedback: Regular customer feedback loops through interviews, surveys, and focus groups can illuminate whether a trend aligns with long-term user needs. Insights from these engagements often place a clear lens on what truly matters to users beyond the trend cycle.
Combine Trends with Strategy: Employ frameworks such as the Three Horizons Framework to balance trend adoption with long-term strategy. While it's useful to allocate resources to current trends, it's equally important to invest in new innovations and furthering the core business objectives to ensure a balance.
Innovation Over Imitation: Strive to innovate based on customer value rather than imitate succumbing trends. This can involve the fearless creation of niches that may initially seem minor but cater to growing customer segments.
Validate Before Implementation: Before fully integrating a trend-based feature, use pretotyping or minimal viable products (MVPs) to test their viability. This approach allows companies to simulate the value of new features to real users before committing extensive resources.
"The antidote to stagnation is innovation." - Robin Sharma

Leveraging Trends Wisely
While trends can initially boost a product's visibility and adoption, relying on them for sustained success can be misleading. This reliance can turn into an obsession that blinds a company to true user engagement and long-term needs. By focusing on creating lasting value and strategically selecting which trends to incorporate into their roadmaps, product managers can steer clear of product obsolescence and maintain their distinct market position.
The key takeaway for product managers and their teams is nuanced discernment—recognizing trends offers opportunities for growth, yet it's pivotal to not let them steer your strategic vision off its original course. Instead, leverage trends as a catalyst for refining and challenging your assumptions, ultimately crafting products that not only participate in the trend cycle but also define and surpass it.